April 2011 – T Theory® Update

Terry Laundry’s Weekly T Theory™ Observations – Week of April 17 2011

Look the Chart of Peters  Mega-T#3

Download Tracking Eliades Mega-T#3

tracking-eliades-mega-t3 (1)

and listen to Terry’s

mp3 Audio commentary via  Download TTOAudio20110417A

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Look at the T Theory™Confidence Indicator

Download Confidence Indicator

confidence-indicator--1 (1)

and listen to Terry’s

mp3 Audio Commentary via  Download TTOAudio20110417B

See Chart of TLT here

Download TLTBond 20110415

tltbond-20110415 (1)

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Look at the  Daily Chart

Download DailyChart20110415

dailychart20110415 (1)

and listen to Terry’s

mp3 Audio Commentary via  Download TTOAudio20110417C

 Terry Laundry’s Weekly T Theory™ Observations – Week of April 3 2011

T Theory™ Forecast for the S&P 500

Download DailyChart20110401pdf

dailychart20110401pdf (1)

and listen to

mp3 Audio Commentary Download TTOAudio20110403A

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Long Term Summary in Answer to a Question

Charles Nenner Forecasts Dow 5,000 & Major War by 2012

http://www.profi-forex.us/news/entry4000001168.html

Listen to the mp3 Audio Commentary

Download TTOAudio20110403B

and note the Advance-Decline MegaT chart below

Download Eliades 3 MegaTspdf

eliades-3-megatspdf (1)
Terry Laundry’s Weekly T Theory™ Observations – Week of April 10 2011

This weeks Q@A:  Discussed in today’s Audio Commentary

Comment from Jeffery: Charles (Nenner) thinks we are making a major top over the next month or two as we do in T Theory. He is not calling for it to fall apart but erode through the rest of 2011 or stay neutral give or take. He expects that by late 2012 early 2013 that things will begin to deteriorate over the next 2-3 years wind up falling dramatically (Dow 5000) is the price target but not until around 2016. He expects markets will not recover until 2020. These are based on longer term cycles. In reality I think they are likely influenced by some of the same things T Theory looks at.

Question from Linda: Based on Eliades analysis of the advanced/decline T (ie big top April 24-early June), would you interpret that QE has not affected on the market the last 6 months?

T Theory™ Forecast for the S&P 500

Download DailyChart20110408pdf

dailychart20110408pdf (1)

and listen to Terry’s

mp3 Audio Commentary Download TTOAudio20110410A

Note the Advance-Decline MegaT chart

Download Eliades 3 MegaTspdf

eliades-3-megatspdf (1)

and listen to Terry’s mp3 Commentary below

Download mp3 TTOAudio20110410B

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A Look at Gold
By Parker Binion
April 10, 2011

Gold broke out to new all-time highs last week, so let’s examine the gold forecast.

First, the daily Money Flow T™ of GLD (using a 15-period MFI) expires early next week.  Recall that the expiration of a Money Flow T™ does not always mean a trend change is at hand.  Often, it signals that the security is simply entering a consolidation/correction phase before resuming the primary trend.

226a00d83455c65c69e2014e875b43bf970d-800wi

The weekly GLD Money Flow T™ using an 11-period MFI expires in mid-June.

336a00d83455c65c69e2014e875b4518970d-800wi

Finally, my friend Diogtenes has alerted me to a very interesting cycle in gold.  Over the last two years, the 150-day moving average has served as rock solid support.  Further, every time gold retraces back to the 150-day moving average, it makes a major peak roughly 4.5 months later.  If it follows the same pattern, we should expect a major peak in June.

446a00d83455c65c69e2014e607fb994970c-800wi

Harmonizing the weekly and daily Money Flow Ts™ with the cycles, I believe we will get a normal correction in gold beginning next week that lasts a week or two, and then the uptrend will resume into ~June 2011.  I expect the ~June 2011 top to be significant, after which there will likely be a major correction at least back to the 150-day moving average.
Terry Laundry’s Weekly T Theory™ Observations – Week of March 27 2011

T Theory™ Forecast for the S&P 500

Download DailyChart20110325pdf

dailychart20110325pdf (1)

and listen

to the mp3 Audio Commentary

Download TTOAudio20110327A

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Projecting the May-June Top, Part 3
By Parker Binion
March 27, 2011

Two weeks ago, we examined the 14-week cycle tops which projected a top on ~May 24, 2011.  Last week, we investigated the Golden Ratio cycle which projected a top on ~June 13, 2011.  This week, we’ll explore my Money Flow T™ forecast.

As a reminder, tutorials on my Money Flow T™ discovery are located in the archives below (see T Theory Observations for the weeks of January 16, 2011 through February 13, 2011).  Note:  the Money Flow Index is a volume-based indicator, and Money Flow Ts™ are volume-based patterns.  Anyone who has studied intraday volume knows that the first and last hour of the trading day are usually the heaviest volume hours.  As a result of this distribution of volume during the day, Money Flow Ts™ constructed on intraday time frames can be distorted and tend to be less reliable than those constructed on daily or weekly time frames.

Looking at the weekly charts, the weekly SPY Money Flow T™ expires during the week of ~June 6, 2011:

556a00d83455c65c69e20147e37a8355970b-800wi

Similarly, the Dow daily chart shows a Money Flow T™ expiring on ~June 15, 2011.

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These Money Flow Ts™ confirm the cycles we have discussed over the last two weeks.  All roads point to a top coming in late May to mid-June.  Until next time, please use caution in your investments and manage your risk wisely.

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All Rights Reserved By The T Theory® Foundation ©

Order the T Theory® Encyclopedia

For a complete understanding of the T Theory® and how to successfully use Terry’s unique methods, order the Encyclopedia from Paula at the above link.  There is additional material in the encyclopedia not covered here.  Paula will be more than happy to answer your questions too.

Many thanks to Paula Burke for her permission to re-post Terry’s old T Theory® explanations.  The period re-blogged on these pages are some of Terry Laundry’s best work and was published here from public domain.

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I claim no credit for the material found under T Theory® on this blog.  All of this material is the creation of Terry Laundry and was downloaded from Terry’s free blog site (TypePad).  I have created a mirror of Terry’s original material and now there is a second site containing Terry’s T Theory®.  One or both of these websites hopefully will survive through time as Terry’s material is too important to be lost to the ravages of time.  This site is simply a memorial to his lifetime work.

The page content re-blogged here is exactly as Terry created on his original webpages (saved on my computer with ScrapBook)).  Nothing has been left out from the period Dec 2003 to June 2011.  From Terry’s site, I made a lot of formatting changes, creating a more easily readable webpage appearance.  The PDF chart duplicates of the JPEGs have been omitted for ease and speed of recreating Terry’s pages.  References to PDF charts should be ignored (but no chart was left out).

After June 2011, Terry created a paid subscription website. None of that material is found here.

There were many many, many hours spent on this project; downloading Terry’s individual charts & audio files, followed by the uploading of Terry’s charts and audio to my WordPress blog library, after which I had to insert the uploaded material into my new T Theory® webpages (hopefully in the correct places).  This was a dull and arduous project and I hope you enjoy it.  I don’t believe there remains any more of Terry’s material in free domain, so my T Theory® project is probably finished.  If I’ve missed something, you can leave me a comment.

If you find an uploaded reference error (chart or audio in the wrong place), please note the month and year of the webpage, plus the exact name of the referenced error file.  Include any other info that will help me locate the problem file and where it occurs on the webpage.  Leave a comment for me with the info and I’ll fix it.

Terry’s material is very long and will take many weeks for you to finish.  Don’t hurry, it’s not a marathon and you will absorb more if you go through it at a reasonable rate.  This is especially true for those who don’t invest in the T Theory® reference encyclopedia.  The encyclopedia is a written reference for T Theory® and includes everything of importance for Terry’s T Theory®.  Without the reference encyclopedia you must depend on your memory and Terry’s method carries some rules that you could easily violate.  The encyclopedia also includes new information never seen on his website.

You are welcome to save any or all of my blog material to your computer.  You also have my permission to re-blog my information, but you must (1) credit me and my blog in an obvious manner and (2) don’t change my material.

FYI – I find the best way to save a webpage is using “ScrapBook” (it’s an add-on for the FireFox browser).  ScrapBook saves a webpage to your computer EXACTLY as it appears on the day you saved it.  You can’t tell the difference between the internet webpage and your ScrapBook saved webpage.  The saved pages are not pictures.  Instead the pages consist of HTML and page functionality remains identical on your computer.   There is also a second method for using ScrapBook, where you can save all of the webpages down to a defined link depth.  This optional method means all links will function on your computer to the link depth specified (meaning you can click on links on your saved webpages and tunnel down into pages within pages).  Saving the normal way will only save the top webpage but the links that exist could continue to  function by taking you to the website on the internet instead of on your computer.  But sometimes the linked website doesn’t exist anymore.  I’ve had this happen on some very good webpages with unique information (they just disappear into the internet void).  That’s a bummer when you lost some really good info and thus rose my need for ScrapBook.  You can also filter the pages saved using the optional ScrapBook method, which can exclude all pages not coming directly from the specified website (filtering is recommended using this method otherwise you wind up with a LOT of useless stuff).

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