April 2010 – T Theory® Update
T Theory™ Observations for Sunday April 25 2010
Today’s topics summarizes my comments regarding questions emailed to me and further analysis of the equity market using the AD Oscillator Chart below and the T Theory Confidence Indicator™ that follows.
Each topic has its separate Audio file. Pull up a chart or print it, then start the audio separately. Higher resolution PDF charts are also supplied at the link following the chart images below. You may download the charts and print them for your collection.
James wrote: Terry, after reading your T THEORY FOUNDATION update of April 21, your expectations look correct. There is a 13 Week Cycle Low due April 29th to May 5th, so that might be the timeframe for the sharp drop you are expecting (with the 18 Day Oscillator at the Zero Line). The last two 13 week Cycle Lows occurred on November 2, 2009 and February 5, 2010.
Current AD Line vs the Advance-Decline Oscillator topic:
Download TTO20100425ADO commentary
The T Theory Confidence Index™ vs Barrons Confidence Index topic
Audio Commentary for the Confidence Index Topic
Download TTO 20100423confidenceIndex
ASIC’s Best Bond™ topic
Audio Commentary for Best Bond™ Topic
Download TTO20100423BestBond
Terry Laundry’s Weekly T Theory™ Observations for April 18 2010
T Theory™ Observations for Sunday April 18 2010 Today’s topics summarizes my comments regarding questions emailed to me and further analysis of the equity market using the AD Oscillator Chart below and the Advance-Decline T#13 that follows.
Each topic has its separate Audio file. Pull up a chart or print it, then start the audio separately. Higher resolution PDF charts are also supplied at the link following the chart images below. You may download the charts and print them for your collection.
James wrote: Terry, In reference to your weekend comments about the Advance/Decline Oscillator, for the past year or so the Momentum/Oscillator lows have been running “around” 30 trading days after the Momentum/Oscillator highs.Example:
From the 1/6/09 Oscillator high to the 2/23/09 Oscillator low was 32 trading days.
From the 5/4/09 Oscillator high to the 6/17/09 Oscillator low was 31 trading days.
From the 9/16/09 Oscillator high to the 10/28/09 Oscillator low was 30 trading days.
From the 12/24/09 Oscillator high to the 2/8/10 Oscillator low was 29 trading days.
Since the last high occurred on March 5th, the next Oscillator/Momentum low should occur sometime between this coming Friday (4/16/10) and a week from tomorrow (Tuesday, 4/20/10).
Audio Commentary for ADO Chart
Download TTO20100418ADOcommentary
The 13th ADT Chart Topic
The 13th ADT Chart Commentary
Download TTO20100418ADT#13
T Theory™ Observations for Sunday April 11 2010 Today’s topics summarizes my comments regarding questions emailed to me and further analysis of Gold.
Each topic has its separate Audio file. Pull up a chart or print it, then start the audio separately. Higher resolution PDF charts are also supplied at the link following the chart images below. You may download the charts and print them for your collection.
Big Short Covering Rally Topic
Audio Commentary for Rally
Download TTO20100411RallyTopic
Lows in the T Theory Advance-Decline Oscillator Topic
Audio Commentary for AD Oscillator topic
Download TTO20100411ADOscTopic
Gold Cycle Topic
Audio Commentary for Gold Topic
Download TTO20100411GoldTopic
Real Estate Trends Topic
Audio Commentary for Real Estate Topic
Download TTO20100411RealEstateTopic
Forty Year Cycle Perspective Topic
Audio Commentary for Forty Year Cycle Topic
Download TTO20100411FortyYearCycleTopic
T Theory™ Observations for Sunday April 4 2010 Today’s topics summarizes Sherman’s approach to trading Silver and his comments on the importance of developing ones own strategy with my comments.
Then we move onto an update on the an improving Gold situation. Finally I discuss my Confidence Indicator as a way to track market trends and plan investment strategies for the longer term.This topic will be continued next Sunday as it has a strong baring on developing a plan to cope with the Forty Year Cycle after August projected peak for the equity market.
Each topic has its separate Audio file. Pull up a chart or print it, then start the audio separately. Higher resolution PDF charts are also supplied at the link following the chart images below. You may download the chart and print it for your collection.
Terry, you had made a comment a few weeks ago when we had a small correction and many news letter writers and analysts were saying to go short that these people “don’t know anything.” The below email sent today puts this subscription service in that category of “know nothing”. I have been blessed to have my ear to your notes long enough to understand that we have rest and run periods. When silver and gold were flashing signs saying the rest is over we are now going up I listened to what I learned from you and not the subscription service I was paying.
It was clear to me that silver had turned up in the oscillator and we had created a center post for a new T. I have a healthy profit in silver where I would have had a losing bet by following the blind. From this new T I know the area to suggest a topping pattern whereas this subscription service is just now getting around to consider buying after a 10% run up from the center post. They will be buying when it is time to cash out from a momentum peak.
I just listened to the interview with Marty Schwartz. I may never be as successful as he and of course you but I do believe that my success in investments has turned around due to the Magic T. Thank you for posting your notes. Sherman April 1 2010
Here is Sherman’s chart
Audio for Silver Chart discussion
Download TTO20100404SilverChart
Current Gold Chart with Accumulation Indicators
Audio Commentary for Gold Indicators
Download TTO20100404GoldIndicators
T Theory™’s Confidence Indicator Concept
Audio Commentary on my Confidence Indicator
Download TTO20100404ConfidenceIndex
Barrons Financial Confidence History
Barron’s Confidence Index
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Many thanks to Paula Burke for her permission to re-post Terry’s old T Theory® explanations. The period re-blogged on these pages are some of Terry Laundry’s best work and was published here from public domain.
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I claim no credit for the material found under T Theory® on this blog. All of this material is the creation of Terry Laundry and was downloaded from Terry’s free blog site (TypePad). I have created a mirror of Terry’s original material and now there is a second site containing Terry’s T Theory®. One or both of these websites hopefully will survive through time as Terry’s material is too important to be lost to the ravages of time. This site is simply a memorial to his lifetime work.
The page content re-blogged here is exactly as Terry created on his original webpages (saved on my computer with ScrapBook)). Nothing has been left out from the period Dec 2003 to June 2011. From Terry’s site, I made a lot of formatting changes, creating a more easily readable webpage appearance. The PDF chart duplicates of the JPEGs have been omitted for ease and speed of recreating Terry’s pages. References to PDF charts should be ignored (but no chart was left out).
After June 2011, Terry created a paid subscription website. None of that material is found here.
There were many many, many hours spent on this project; downloading Terry’s individual charts & audio files, followed by the uploading of Terry’s charts and audio to my WordPress blog library, after which I had to insert the uploaded material into my new T Theory® webpages (hopefully in the correct places). This was a dull and arduous project and I hope you enjoy it. I don’t believe there remains any more of Terry’s material in free domain, so my T Theory® project is probably finished. If I’ve missed something, you can leave me a comment.
If you find an uploaded reference error (chart or audio in the wrong place), please note the month and year of the webpage, plus the exact name of the referenced error file. Include any other info that will help me locate the problem file and where it occurs on the webpage. Leave a comment for me with the info and I’ll fix it.
Terry’s material is very long and will take many weeks for you to finish. Don’t hurry, it’s not a marathon and you will absorb more if you go through it at a reasonable rate. This is especially true for those who don’t invest in the T Theory® reference encyclopedia. The encyclopedia is a written reference for T Theory® and includes everything of importance for Terry’s T Theory®. Without the reference encyclopedia you must depend on your memory and Terry’s method carries some rules that you could easily violate. The encyclopedia also includes new information never seen on his website.
You are welcome to save any or all of my blog material to your computer. You also have my permission to re-blog my information, but you must (1) credit me and my blog in an obvious manner and (2) don’t change my material.
FYI – I find the best way to save a webpage is using “ScrapBook” (it’s an add-on for the FireFox browser). ScrapBook saves a webpage to your computer EXACTLY as it appears on the day you saved it. You can’t tell the difference between the internet webpage and your ScrapBook saved webpage. The saved pages are not pictures. Instead the pages consist of HTML and page functionality remains identical on your computer. There is also a second method for using ScrapBook, where you can save all of the webpages down to a defined link depth. This optional method means all links will function on your computer to the link depth specified (meaning you can click on links on your saved webpages and tunnel down into pages within pages). Saving the normal way will only save the top webpage but the links that exist could continue to function by taking you to the website on the internet instead of on your computer. But sometimes the linked website doesn’t exist anymore. I’ve had this happen on some very good webpages with unique information (they just disappear into the internet void). That’s a bummer when you lost some really good info and thus rose my need for ScrapBook. You can also filter the pages saved using the optional ScrapBook method, which can exclude all pages not coming directly from the specified website (filtering is recommended using this method otherwise you wind up with a LOT of useless stuff).
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